Stanley Subramoney, PwC Head of Strategy for Southern Africa.
Image Credit: APO
Today at the African CEO Forum
of 2015 in Geneva, PwC launches the
first edition of its ‘Into Africa – the continent’s cities of opportunity’
report, which details the potential of 20 African cities that we believe to be
among the most dynamic and future focused on the continent. The report is part
of PwC’s global Cities of Opportunity series and its analysis is structured
around the critical issues of the business community as well as those of the
office holders and other public authorities who are responsible for improving
the collective life of each city examined here.
The African continent is
crossed by five trends: demographic change, urbanisation, technological
changes, the transfer of economic power and climate change. Urbanisation is of
particular importance, as by 2030, half of Africa’s population will live in
cities where economic activity and growth will be focused and which will become
communication centers and hubs for social trends. The global megatrends are
colliding across Africa. The growing middle class, strong demographic growth
with an improving age mix, technological innovation that we have already seen
in mobile payments and a growing choice of investment partners from the global
south, as well as fast-paced urbanisation are all shaping what the future of
Africa will look like.
Stanley Subramoney, PwC
Head of Strategy for Southern Africa, says: “We have sought to answer ‘what
makes an African city one of opportunity’ by developing a set of questions that
investors should ask themselves and themes which city politicians and officials
can work on to improve their competitiveness. This report assesses how the
cities are performing not only on a regional level but also on an international
one, which is hugely important in terms of these cities being able to compete
and prosper on both of these stages.”
PwC studied four
indicators: the economy, infrastructure, human capital and population/society
(which itself contains 29 variables). From this analysis, two rankings emerged:
‘general’ and ‘opportunities for cities’. “We believe that these cities
demonstrate the relative strengths and weaknesses of Africa’s urban future. Our
evaluation and re-evaluation of that future is, of course, a continual work in
progress,” adds Kalane Rampai, PwC Leader for Local Government for Southern
Africa.
North
African cities lead the way
Four of the top five
cities in the report are located in North Africa: Cairo, Tunis, Algiers and
Casablanca, with the fifth being Johannesburg.
The preponderance of North
African cities at the top is mainly due to how long they have been established.
This has given them time to develop infrastructure and a regulatory and legal
framework, and to establish a socio-cultural ecosystem. Johannesburg is the
only exception to this pattern since it was only formed more recently, in 1886
(compared to the other cities it’s ranked highly with), and was developed
rapidly for political reasons. Therefore, its infrastructure and services are
comparable to those of the more established African cities.
African
cities with promise
Another major criterion
of a city’s potential is the vision they have for their future. Accra, the
capital of Ghana, is a good example of a city that has a good reputation
throughout Africa and beyond for the quality of its communications
infrastructure, low crime rates and steady democracy. Economically, it ranks
second for both its attractiveness as a destination for foreign direct
investment and the diversity of its GDP.
Most of the African cities with
promise can (and will), with a little effort and organisation, climb to join
those cities at the top of our overall ranking. Moreover, many of them have
already become key regional platforms, such as Dar es Salaam and Douala as
centres for telecommunications, Accra and Lagos for culture, and Nairobi for
financial services.
Outside our top five
cities, Kigali finishes at the very top for both ease of doing business and
health spending; Abidjan ranks number one in both middle-class growth and
diversity; Dar es Salaam is first in GDP growth; and Nairobi outscores all
African cities in FDI.
With 5% growth, dynamic
demographics and a growing middle class, Africa is extremely appealing to
investors. After undergoing a period of pessimism about the future of Africa
with some exaggerated optimism, leaders today share a more realistic view of
the economic climate of the continent. This is what PwC calls ‘Afro-realism’.
The trends identified in
the report, with the generally accepted economic data supporting the notion
that cities are the world’s ‘engines of growth’, make ‘Into Africa – the
continent’s cities of opportunity’ report not only necessary but extremely
timely.
About
PwC:
PwC helps organisations and
individuals create the value they’re looking for. We’re a network of firms in
157 countries with more than 195,000 people who are committed to delivering
quality in assurance, tax and advisory services.
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