Google chairman, Eric Schmidt has co-authored a book with Jared Cohen, a former U.S state department terrorosm adviser who now head Google Idea's; giving predictions on how the digital age future will look like.
The book, "The New Digital Age:Reshaping the Future of People, Nations and Business," reflect on
what our world will be like when everyone on Earth is connected digitally.
A universal Web, the authors say, will
be an inevitable outcome of a world that's increasingly being driven by
technology. But instead of an ominous sci-fi vision of a planet run by robot
overlords, they envision a world that will be shaped, for better or worse, by
us.
"This is a book about technology,
but even more, it's a book about humans and how humans interact with,
implement, adapt to and exploit technologies in their environment, now and in
the future ...," they write. "For all the possibilities that
communication technologies represent, their use for good or ill depends solely
on people. Forget all the talk about machines taking over. What happens in the
future is up to us."
Here are six predictions Schmidt and
Cohen make about the future of the Web:
·
Online privacy
classes will be taught alongside sex education in schools.
"Parents will ... need to be even more involved if they are
going to make sure their children do not make mistakes online that could hurt
their physical future. As children live significantly faster lives online than
their physical maturity allows, most parents will realize that the most
valuable way to help their child is to have the privacy-and-security talk even
before the sex talk."
Conversely, they say, "Some parents will deliberately choose
unique names or unusually spelled traditional names so that their children have
an edge in search results, making them easy to locate and promotable online
without much direct competition."
·
The rise of the mobile Web means the
entire world will be online by 2020.
"What might seem like a small jump
forward for some -- like a smartphone priced under $20 -- may be as profound
for one group as commuting to work in a driverless car is for another,"
they write. "Mobile phones are transforming how people in the developing
world access and use information, and adoption rates are soaring. There are
already more than 650 million mobile-phone users in Africa, and close to 3
billion across Asia."
One example they cite of how mobile is already changing lives:
Congolese fisherwomen who used to take fish to the market, only to sometimes
watch their catch spoil, now leave their fish in the water and wait for calls
from customers.
·
News organizations will find themselves
out of the breaking-news business, as it becomes impossible to keep up with the
real-time nature of information sources like Twitter.
"Every future generation will be
able to produce and consume more information than the previous one and people will
have little patience or use for media that cannot keep up," the authors
say.
"News organizations will remain an important and integral
part of society in a number of ways, but many outlets will not survive in their
current form -- and those that do survive will have adjusted their goals,
methods and organizational structure to meet the changing demands of the new
global public."
·
Online "cloud" data storage
will continue to emerge as the norm, and that's going to radically change how
we view privacy.
"The possibility that one's personal content will be
published and become known one day -- either by mistake or through criminal
interference -- will always exist. People will be held responsible for their
virtual associations, past and present, which raises the risk for nearly
everyone since people's online networks tend to be larger and more diffuse than
their physical ones," they write.
"Since information wants to be free, don't write anything
down you don't want read back to you in court or printed on the front page of a
newspaper, as the saying goes. In the future, this adage will broaden to
include not just what you say and write, but the websites you visit, who you
include in your online network, what you 'like,' and what others who are
connected to you say and share."
·
As the Web expands, revolutions will
begin springing up in nations with oppressive governments "more casually
and more often than at any other time in history."
"With new access to virtual space and to its technologies,
populations and groups all around the world will seize their moment, addressing
long-held grievances or new concerns with tenacity and conviction. Many leading
these charges will be young, not just because so many of the countries coming
online have incredibly young populations ... but also because the mix of
activism and arrogance in young people is universal."
·
More people will use technology for
terror. But a Web presence will make those terrorists easier to find, too.
"Many of the populations coming
online in the next decade are very young and live in restive areas, with
limited economic opportunities and long histories of internal and external
strife. ... Terrorism, of course, will never disappear, and it will continue to
have a destructive impact," the authors write.
"But as the terrorists of the future are forced to live in
both the physical and the virtual world, their model of secrecy and discretion
will suffer. There will be more digital eyes watching, more recorded
interactions, and, as careful as even the most sophisticated terrorists are,
even they cannot completely hide online."
Source: CNN
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